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Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis | 
 enlarge | Author: Robert J. Lempert
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Category: Book
List Price: $30.00
Buy New: $24.29
You Save: $5.71 (19%)
New (11) Used (11) from $19.00
Avg. Customer Rating:  3 reviews
Sales Rank: 995777
Media: Paperback
Number Of Items: 1
Pages: 186
Shipping Weight (lbs): 1
Dimensions (in): 9.2 x 6.1 x 0.5
ISBN: 0833032755
Dewey Decimal Number: 320.60113
EAN: 9780833032751
ASIN: 0833032755
Publication Date: January 25, 2004
Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
Shipping: International shipping available
Condition: Brand new item. Over 4 million customers served. Order now. Selling online since 1995. Few left in stock - order soon. Code: N20080926074126N
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Product Description
What should people do today to shape the next hundred years to their liking?
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| Customer Reviews:
The Complexity of long term policy planning strategies April 26, 2004
1 out of 1 found this review helpful
The visionary ideas put forward by Lempert, Popper and Bankes work not only for business analysis but provide thought -provoking models for many different types of long term planning. Of particular interest to the general reader are the discussion of conditions of deep uncertainty and the necessity of seeking robust strategies.
The Next 100 years of Strategic Thinking January 10, 2004
2 out of 3 found this review helpful
"Shaping the Next One Hundred Years" by Lempert, Popper and Bankes is as an exciting new book on strategic thinking and is comparable in importance to Michael Porter's "Competitive Strategy ". The book describes a methodology that mirrors how successful business leaders think while using novel software to expand and codify the decision making process. Lempert et al accomplish this by using exploratory modeling to evaluate the myriad possible futures a decision maker faces and then comparing different strategies against the desired metrics. The results are new insights and a strategy that works regardless of unpredictable events the future. The methodology is revolutionary and will become the preeminent way important decisions are made.
An excellent guide for forward-thinkers and strategists November 18, 2003
3 out of 3 found this review helpful
The collaboration of Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper and Steven C. Bankes, Shaping The Next One Hundred Years: New Methods For Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis offers complex mathematical analysis techniques for making long-term policy predictions. Sample models, ways to analyze sustainable development, robust and adaptive strategies, and more fill the pages of this technical guide focusing upon quantitative approaches to long-term policy analysis. An excellent guide for forward-thinkers and strategists in business who must take into account such diverse considerations as environmental protection, political terrorism, genetic technologies, international trade developments, and more, Shaping The Next One Hundred Years is very strongly recommended reading.
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